Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastOctober 31 4.8%-79.2ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-45.2 pts
Market data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Oct 28, 26, 1:30 PM UTCNov 2, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___? [Polymarket]
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PolymarketPredict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
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Manifold MarketsWill 1win launch a token by which date?
PolymarketWill Variational launch a token by ___ ?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if predict.fun officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable.
- Announcements alone do not qualify.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be information from predict.fun (https://predict.fun/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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