Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastDecember 31 95%+3.8ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+9.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleOct 9, 26, 1:46 AM UTCJan 6, 27, 1:44 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Predict.fun launch a token by which date?
PolymarketPredict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketWill 1win launch a token by which date?
PolymarketWill Variational launch a token by ___ ?
PolymarketWho will launch a token this year?
KalshiWill Pacifica launch a token by December 31, 2026?
LimitlessRules
This market will resolve identically to this one on Polymarket: Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___?
- Polymarket rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if predict.fun officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable.
- Announcements alone do not qualify.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be information from predict.fun (https://predict.fun/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.