Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 94%
Forecasters
35
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleDec 8, 25, 10:49 AMJan 31, 27, 11:59 PM
Trends
Rules
This is a market on whether Polyoptions' total trading volume in 2026 is greater than or equal to $1,000,000,000.00 (as rounded to the nearest penny), according to official trading volume as first reported for that period, or portion thereof, at https://polyoptions.com/.
- Trading volume will be measured in notional value, which equals the USD payout value of the underlying Polymarket positions.
- If total trading volume in 2026 is less than $1,000,000,000.00 or if no such official data is published at that site on or before January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Should Polyoptions change its name or URL, the relevant successor site will be used as the resolutions source.
- Should Polyoptions merge with or be acquired by another platform prior to year-end and prior to trigerring a "Yes" resolution, such that Polyoptions' volume can not be disaggregated from that of its acquirer or merger partner, this market will resolve to “No”.
Open markets
Crypto
KALSHIBTC price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,500 or above+85.0pt99%
- $76,000 or above+94.0pt99%
- $74,000 or above+74.0pt99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $8.1M
- 24h Vol
- $5.3M
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in August?
- ↑ 77,500+77.6pt100%
- ↑ 75,000+77.7pt100%
- ↑ 72,500+88.0pt100%
+34 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- ↓ 60,000+10.4pt100%
- ↑ 75,000+30.4pt100%
- ↑ 70,000+29.4pt100%
+41 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat price will Ethereum hit in August?
- ↑ 2,400+49.5pt100%
- ↑ 2,300+96.9pt100%
- ↑ 2,200+92.5pt100%
+32 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat price will XRP hit in August?
- ↑ 1.40+93.3pt100%
- ↑ 1.20+97.0pt100%
- ↓ 1.00+24.4pt100%
+19 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on August 22?
- 52,000+0.3pt100%
- 54,000+0.1pt100%
- 56,000+0.1pt100%
+8 more outcomes
- ETH price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- What price will Bitcoin hit August 17-23?
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?
- How low will Bitcoin get in 2026?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on August 21?
- BTC price on August 21
- How high will ETH get in August?
- What price will Solana hit in August?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Polyoptions volume hit $1 billion in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 94% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Will Polyoptions volume hit $1 billion in 2026? resolve?
- Will Polyoptions volume hit $1 billion in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 31, 2027.
- How is Will Polyoptions volume hit $1 billion in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This is a market on whether Polyoptions' total trading volume in 2026 is greater than or equal to $1,000,000,000.00 (as rounded to the nearest penny), according to official trading volume as first reported for that period, or portion thereof, at https://polyoptions.com/.