Will Nintendo announce a new mainline Super Smash Bros. game before Jan 1st 2030?
One-OffEntertainment3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 95.3%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Nov 27, 23, 4:40 PM UTCJan 2, 30, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Super Smash Bros. Melee come to Nintendo Switch Online before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Super Smash Bros. game be released?
Manifold MarketsWhat year will the next Super Smash Bros. game be released?
Manifold MarketsWill the Slamfest '99 lost media be found by the end of 2026? (Super Smash Bros promotion event)
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $398.4K
- 24h Vol
- $106K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $212.1K
- 24h Vol
- $105.5K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+7.0pt45%
- Jack Barton-5.0pt20%
- Callum Turner-5.0pt18%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+24.1pt46.2%
- No Bond chosen-1.5pt19.8%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $307.5K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-51.0pt16%
- Above 408%
- Above 50-57.0pt7%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $99.8K
- 24h Vol
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- Steam: Weekly Top Seller
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- #2 US Spotify Song 2026
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Nintendo announce a new mainline Super Smash Bros. game before Jan 1st 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 95% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Nintendo announce a new mainline Super Smash Bros. game before Jan 1st 2030? resolve?
- Will Nintendo announce a new mainline Super Smash Bros. game before Jan 1st 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2030.