Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastBefore 2030 94.5%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
7
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleNov 12, 25, 12:20 PM UTCFeb 2, 30, 12:12 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Nintendo announce a new mainline Super Smash Bros. game before Jan 1st 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Super Smash Bros. Melee come to Nintendo Switch Online before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI be able to impersonate players in Super Smash Bros. Melee before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the Slamfest '99 lost media be found by the end of 2028? (Super Smash Bros promotion event)
Manifold MarketsOscar Winner: Best Picture
KalshiThe Cat in the Hat · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiRules
A remake / deluxe re-release / remaster / switch 2 edition / port / virtual console release / etc. of an older game doesn't count - it has to be a new game.
- This is a cumulative market, and each answer resolves independently, so e.g. if it releases in 2028 sometime, "the named outcome" and "the named outcome" will resolve NO, and the others will resolve Yes.
