Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (99%)
Resolved: Sep 8, 2026, 8:22 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastYes 99%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 52 minutes ago
LaggingSep 8, 26, 5:03 AM UTCSep 8, 26, 8:22 AM UTC
Probability Timeline
Yes99%
No1%
99%
1%
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the total trading volume of this specific market page reaches or exceeds 200,000 Mana (M$200,000) at any point prior to its close date.
- This market will resolve to NO if, at the time of market closing, the total trading volume remains below 200,000 Mana.
- "Trading volume" is defined as the cumulative amount of Mana bet on this market, as displayed publicly in the market's stats (typically next to the trader count on the top of the market page).
- If Manifold Markets updates its platform terminology or currency, the equivalent primary play-money metric representing total cumulative betting volume on this post will be used.
- Manifold Markets operates using a play-money currency called Mana (M$).
