Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 93.3%
Forecasters
27
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Jun 12, 25, 3:49 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Mr Beast have a video with 1 billion views by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill MrBeast hit ___ Billion views by October 31?
PolymarketWill Mr. Beast run a red button vs. blue button video by the end of the year?
Manifold MarketsWill Mr. Beast reach 570 million subs by 2027?
Manifold MarketsIs Mr Beast doing a hunger games Video in secret?
Manifold Markets#1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Nov 7, 2026?
KalshiRules
Update 2025-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Only main videos will be considered.
- Shorts do not count.