Data quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 12:15 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
No 63.8%
No 63.8%Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Jan 11, 24, 3:47 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Magnus Carlsen be the highest FIDE rating chess player at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Magnus Carlsen be the highest FIDE rating chess player at the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Magnus Carlsen be the highest FIDE rating chess player at the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsHikaru Nakamura and Magnus Carlsen play world-championship-style classical match before 2030
Manifold MarketsFIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner
KalshiFIDE Standard Top Women Chess Players: Top 5 Rated in December 2026
KalshiRules
Resolution according to FIDE offical ratings
- https://ratings.fide.com/top_lists.phtml
