Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 87.9%
Forecasters
25
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleJan 8, 23, 4:43 AM UTCJan 1, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Currently, LeBron James has 10,247 assists and Chris Paul has 11,194 assists, meaning that LeBron is 947 assists behind. https://www.basketball-reference.com/leaders/ast_career.html
- Both are still currently active players, and both have around 200 assists recorded so far this season.
- They are approximately the same age.
- This market will be resolved positively if LeBron is ahead of Chris Paul in career assists, and Chris Paul is retired.
- It will resolve negatively if Chris Paul is ahead of LeBron, and LeBron is retired.
- If LeBron passes Paul, and then gets passed back, and then they both retire, it would still resolve negatively.
Open markets
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- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
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+45 more outcomes
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- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will LeBron James pass Chris Paul in career assists??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 88% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will LeBron James pass Chris Paul in career assists? resolve?
- Will LeBron James pass Chris Paul in career assists? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2029.
- How is Will LeBron James pass Chris Paul in career assists? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Currently, LeBron James has 10,247 assists and Chris Paul has 11,194 assists, meaning that LeBron is 947 assists behind. https://www.basketball-reference.com/leaders/ast_career.html