KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before the 2029-30 season · —
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Stored price
Before the 2029-30 season 90%Leader of 3 outcomes
Before the 2029-30 season 90%Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$47.5
Open interest
$3.2K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Before the 2029-30 seasonSpread
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Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
May 28, 26, 12:45 AM UTCNov 15, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before the 2029-30 season
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will Lebron James retire from NBA?
Manifold MarketsWill LeBron James be a majority owner of a men's Pro Basketball team before 2030?
KalshiLeBron James Next Team
KalshiWill LeBron James win another NBA championship as a player?
Manifold MarketsWill LeBron James pass Chris Paul in career assists?
Manifold MarketsHow many games will LeBron James end his NBA career having played?
Manifold MarketsRules
If LeBron James announces his retirement from the NBA before the 2029-30 NBA season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the Governing LeagueSports IllustratedFox SportsThe Wall Street JournalNBC SportsCBS SportsThe AthleticAPESPNThe Washington PostBloomberg NewsABCReuters
- Note: The retirement must be intended to be effective immediately or prior to the first new season after the announcement. For the purposes of this market, the NBA season start date is defined as the date of the first regular season game for that season. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Before the 2029-30 season
- If LeBron James announces his retirement from the NBA before the 2029-30 NBA season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before the 2028-29 season
- If LeBron James announces his retirement from the NBA before the 2028-29 NBA season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before the 2027-28 season
- If LeBron James announces his retirement from the NBA before the 2027-28 NBA season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.
