Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 62.3%
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88
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binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
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Updated 5 hours ago
StaleAug 11, 24, 9:50 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 5:59 AM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
Jordan Chiles's bronze medal in the floor finals was taken away by the CAS and IOC, due to a controversy:
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gymnastics_at_the_2024_Summer_Olympics_%E2%80%93_Women%27s_floor#Controversy
- https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/11/world/olympics/jordan-chiles-gymnastics-medal.html
- This resolves YES if Chiles and the Americans' appeal is granted and she is allowed to keep the bronze medal / her bronze medal is reinstated.
- If both Chiles and Barbosu (or Chiles and Barbosu and Voinea, for that matter) receive bronze medals, this will still resolve YES.
- This resolves NO if not.