Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 55.2%
Forecasters
34
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleDec 28, 23, 11:55 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Next Pirates of the Caribbean film: Will Johnny Depp be cast?
KalshiNext Pirates of the Caribbean Movie: Cast
KalshiWill Johnny Manziel go on ESPN's College GameDay before 2027?
KalshiWill the Red-Haired Pirates be revealed to be the Holy Knights all along?
Manifold MarketsWill there be another new member of the Straw Hat Pirates before the end of One Piece?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $398.4K
- 24h Vol
- $106K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $212.1K
- 24h Vol
- $105.5K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+7.0pt45%
- Jack Barton-5.0pt20%
- Callum Turner-5.0pt18%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+24.1pt46.2%
- No Bond chosen-1.5pt19.8%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $307.5K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-51.0pt16%
- Above 408%
- Above 50-57.0pt7%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $99.8K
- 24h Vol
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- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Johnny Depp return to Pirates of the Caribbean 6??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 55% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Johnny Depp return to Pirates of the Caribbean 6? resolve?
- Will Johnny Depp return to Pirates of the Caribbean 6? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.