Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 94.1%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Aug 30, 26, 3:00 PM UTCSep 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
September 8 Houston vs Philadelphia
Robinhood (Rothera)First snow of the 2026 season
PolymarketWill Southern California experience snow this winter?
Manifold MarketsHow much snow will Purgatory ski resort get in 2026-2027?
Manifold MarketsWaymo handles Denver snow?
Manifold MarketsWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to Yes if the National Weather Service (NWS) records any official snowfall (including a trace, denoted as "T") at Houston George Bush Intercontinental Airport (IAH) during the month of September 2026 (September 1, 2026, through September 30, 2026).
- If no snowfall (including trace amounts) is officially recorded at IAH during this timeframe, the market will resolve to No. The primary source of truth will be the monthly climate report (CLMIAH / CF6IAH) for Houston Intercontinental, accessible via the NWS Houston/Galveston Climate Portal.
- Snowfall in Houston, Texas, is highly unusual even during the winter months, with measurable snow occurring on average only once every 4.5 years.
- Houston's climate is humid subtropical, and September typically features average high temperatures of around 90°F (32°C) and average lows of 73°F (23°C).
Open markets
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+20.0pt99%
- Miami-4.0pt70%
- New Orleans-5.0pt61%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $108K
- 24h Vol
- $103.7K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above61.7%
- 88° to 89°18.7%
- 86° to 87°13.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $98K
- 24h Vol
- $97.7K
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°57%
- 82° to 83°29%
- 79° or below9.3%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $30K
- 24h Vol
- $29.9K
KALSHIWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- No86%
- Yes14%
- Total Vol
- $68.2K
- 24h Vol
- $24.3K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° to 91°55.6%
- 88° to 89°21.3%
- 92° to 93°14.8%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $25K
- 24h Vol
- $24K
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
- SpaceX-4.5pt37.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 more outcomes
- Highest temperature in Dallas on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Singapore on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Paris on September 9?
- Highest temperature in London on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 9?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 8, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will it Snow in September in Houston??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 94% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will it Snow in September in Houston? resolve?
- Will it Snow in September in Houston? is scheduled to resolve on September 30, 2026.
- How is Will it Snow in September in Houston? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria