Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastAt least 137" (2024-2025 season) 92.8%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
3
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleJul 30, 26, 5:29 PM UTCMay 31, 27, 4:55 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will Breckenridge Ski Resort open for the 26/27 winter season?
KalshiWill Southern California experience snow this winter?
Manifold MarketsWaymo handles Denver snow?
Manifold MarketsFirst snow of the 2026 season
PolymarketWill it Snow in September in Houston?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Beaver Creek Resort open for the 26/27 winter season?
KalshiRules
It's supposed to be a very strong El Niño year, possibly the strongest ever: @/Logan5ssP9/will-this-el-nino-be-the-strongest
- Will that result in a good ski season at Purgatory, in Southwestern Colorado (Durango)?
- I'm currently planning to use the annual data from On The Snow.
- Complaints and better suggestions welcome, provided they come soon.
- NWS is predicting better than average, but maybe not spectacular:
- [image]For historical data, this snowpack monitoring station is nearby:
Open markets
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+20.0pt99%
- Miami-4.0pt70%
- New Orleans-5.0pt61%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $108K
- 24h Vol
- $103.7K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above61.7%
- 88° to 89°18.7%
- 86° to 87°13.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $98K
- 24h Vol
- $97.7K
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°57%
- 82° to 83°29%
- 79° or below9.3%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $30K
- 24h Vol
- $29.9K
KALSHIWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- No86%
- Yes14%
- Total Vol
- $68.2K
- 24h Vol
- $24.3K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° to 91°55.6%
- 88° to 89°21.3%
- 92° to 93°14.8%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $25K
- 24h Vol
- $24K
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
- SpaceX-4.5pt37.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 more outcomes
- Highest temperature in Dallas on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Singapore on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Paris on September 9?
- Highest temperature in London on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 9?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 8, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How much snow will Purgatory ski resort get in 2026-2027??
- Manifold Markets prices At least 137" (2024-2025 season) at 93% as of September 7, 2026.
- When does How much snow will Purgatory ski resort get in 2026-2027? resolve?
- How much snow will Purgatory ski resort get in 2026-2027? is scheduled to resolve on May 31, 2027.
- How is How much snow will Purgatory ski resort get in 2026-2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: It's supposed to be a very strong El Niño year, possibly the strongest ever: @/Logan5ssP9/will-this-el-nino-be-the-strongest