Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 10.1%
Forecasters
47
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 44 days ago
StaleOct 18, 22, 10:56 PMJun 2, 29, 6:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes10%
Related Markets
5% more men than women in the US by 2055?
$3KYes: 19.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill I burnout by the end of 2026?
$2.9KYes: 24.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the linked Aella market resolve YES?
$1.2KYes: 1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Harvard tuition exceed $63,000 in 2026?
$600Yes: 86%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEX
Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
$282.6Yes: 18%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Major news story in Jul 2026?
$221At least 3: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
Rules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.