Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 9:52 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 88%
Forecasters
22
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleMay 10, 23, 7:44 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
Based on deal made here: https://www.reuters.com/technology/microsoft-buy-power-nuclear-fusion-company-helion-2023-05-10/
- I doubt an exact Megawatt figure will be published, but I'll resolve on an announcement that energy is flowing in 2028 that is unaccompanied by serious doubt about the meaningfulness of the amount of power being transferred.
- If Helion is purchased/merged/rebranded, this market will still resolve yes if its descendant organization delievers the power