Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 69%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Dec 17, 25, 9:12 AM UTCNov 30, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
GTA VI · In-game radio artist(s) at launch
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Manifold MarketsRockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by which date?
PolymarketWill GTA VI sell more than 50 million copies by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsGTA VI released on Switch 2 by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill GTA VI outperform GTA V in its first 5 days of release
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution Criteria: This market resolves to YES if Grand Theft Auto VI is announced as the winner of "Game of the Year" during either the 2026 or 2027 ceremonies of The Game Awards (hosted by Geoff Keighley).
- Specific Conditions:
- The Window: If the game wins in 2026 or 2027, this resolves YES.
- Missed Cutoff: If the game is released late in 2027 (after the November cutoff) and becomes eligible for the 2028 awards instead, this market resolves NO.
- Delays: If the game is delayed such that it is not eligible until the 2028 awards or later, this market resolves NO.
- Loss: If the game is nominated in 2026 or 2027 but loses to another game, this resolves NO.