Current community forecast
No 95.2%
Forecasters
22
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleNov 25, 25, 7:34 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1993208505486979327
- If the match does not happen by the end of 2026 UTC, or no "Grok 5" is released, whatever the reason resolves no.
- I'll allow some leeway for "best" human team, I won't resolve no on a technicality for "not quite the best" or whatever.
- The AI competing against the human team must officially be called "Grok 5", but suffixes are fine (e.g. Grok 5.1 is also OK).
- The AI under test during the match must be substantially the same product publicly released as "Grok 5" or a version of it.
- Scaffolding is allowed.
Open markets
Sports
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+33 more outcomes
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- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
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+45 more outcomes
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- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
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- Total Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Grok 5 beat the best human team at League of Legends in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 95% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Grok 5 beat the best human team at League of Legends in 2026? resolve?
- Will Grok 5 beat the best human team at League of Legends in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Grok 5 beat the best human team at League of Legends in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1993208505486979327