Current community forecast
No 95.2%
Forecasters
22
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleNov 25, 25, 7:34 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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LimitlessRules
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1993208505486979327
- If the match does not happen by the end of 2026 UTC, or no "Grok 5" is released, whatever the reason resolves no.
- I'll allow some leeway for "best" human team, I won't resolve no on a technicality for "not quite the best" or whatever.
- The AI competing against the human team must officially be called "Grok 5", but suffixes are fine (e.g. Grok 5.1 is also OK).
- The AI under test during the match must be substantially the same product publicly released as "Grok 5" or a version of it.
- Scaffolding is allowed.
