Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 98.2%
Forecasters
64
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleApr 3, 23, 2:28 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiParis curfew effectively lifted by which date?
PolymarketRules
[tweet]Resolves based on the time of conception, not birth.
- An adopted child would count, as would a surrogate.
- (In the case of adoption, resolves based on the time of legal adoption.)