Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 4:15 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastYes 83.1%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJan 27, 23, 10:08 AM UTCDec 17, 27, 10:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Chris Hemsworth appear in "Avengers: Secret Wars"?
Manifold MarketsWill Tobey Maguire appear in "Avengers: Secret Wars"?
Manifold MarketsWill Hugh Jackman appear in "Avengers: Secret Wars"?
Manifold MarketsWill Andrew Garfield appear in "Avengers: Secret Wars"?
Manifold MarketsWill Avengers: Secret Wars be delayed?
PolymarketWhich characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
