Will Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Cardano EthereumOne-OffCrypto Crime & Justice3y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 89.4%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 3 hours ago

Stale

Dec 2, 22, 5:16 AM UTCDec 31, 29, 5:00 AM UTC

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Resolves "Yes" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) has been criminally charged with any felony crime.

Resolves "No" if this does not happen by Jan 1st, 2030.
Part of a large question series.
Question is global -- charges in any country count.
Charges count even if they do not lead to a conviction, were settled before a conviction, or if they are not found not guilty.
Examples that count: wire fraud, perjury, assault, arson, theft.

Open markets

Cardano

KALSHI

Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?

Bitcoin+3.0ptStored 24h historyStored bid–ask9%–16%Collected: Oct 10, 2026, 11:50 AM UTC
CardanoStored bid–ask0%–7%Collected: Oct 10, 2026, 11:50 AM UTC
Ethereum-5.0ptStored 24h historyStored bid–ask2%–10%Collected: Oct 10, 2026, 11:50 AM UTC

+4 more outcomes

Total Vol: $3.7K
24h Vol: $604.9

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will "Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

No74.8%
Yes25.2%

Total Vol: $127
24h Vol: —

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What will be the initial capitalization of the US national strategic crypto reserve?

Between $10 billion and $50 billion48.5%
Between $1 billion and $10 billion17.8%
Between $50 billion and $100 billion14%

+3 more outcomes

Total Vol: $256

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030??: Manifold Markets prices No at 89.4% as of October 10, 2026.
When does Will Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030? resolve?: Will Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2029.
How is Will Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves "Yes" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) has been criminally charged with any felony crime.

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Will Charles Hoskinson (co-founder of Cardano and Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Open markets

Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?

Will "Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

What will be the initial capitalization of the US national strategic crypto reserve?

Related Cryptos

Frequently asked questions

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Open markets

Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?

Will "Ada Palmer: Inventing the Renaissance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

What will be the initial capitalization of the US national strategic crypto reserve?