Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 75.6%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 5, 24, 10:04 PM UTCFeb 2, 31, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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MyriadRules
Buick is going all-electric, but has yet to launch its first EV in the United States.
- The brand has been selling roughly 100k-150k gasoline vehicles each year, but almost half of its American dealerships have decided to close rather than sell EVs.
- In 2023, all of GM's brands combined sold only 75,000 electric vehicles.
- Even Doug DeMuro thinks the Buick brand will leave the US soon.
- Resolves YES if General Motors reports selling at least twenty thousand new Buick-badged EVs in the United States during calendar year 2030.
- Resolves NO if the number is smaller or if General Motors removes Buick as an active brand in the United States.
Open markets
CommoditiesKALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.175099%
- Above 4.160099%
- Above 4.170099%
+26 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $460.1K
- 24h Vol
- $459.9K
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.900099%
+44 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $230.5K
- 24h Vol
- $230.4K
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 more outcomes
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-15.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIOhio gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.900099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+44 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $91.2K
- 24h Vol
- $91.2K
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.1400+25.0pt99%
- Above 4.1200+10.0pt99%
- Above 4.0800+5.0pt99%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Illinois gas prices tomorrow
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- Brent crude oil price on September 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Texas gas prices tomorrow
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 8, 2026
- How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Pennsylvania gas prices tomorrow
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Buick sell 20k+ EVs in the US in 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 76% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Buick sell 20k+ EVs in the US in 2030? resolve?
- Will Buick sell 20k+ EVs in the US in 2030? is scheduled to resolve on February 2, 2031.
- How is Will Buick sell 20k+ EVs in the US in 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Buick is going all-electric, but has yet to launch its first EV in the United States.