Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 78.8%
Forecasters
28
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJun 18, 23, 4:25 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 7:01 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will Brightline West open for service?
Manifold MarketsWill Brightline West open for service before 2031?
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PolymarketRules
"Brightline West is a proposed privately run high-speed rail route in the United States linking Las Vegas Valley and Rancho Cucamonga in the Greater Los Angeles area through the California high desert."
- "[R]evenue service is planned to begin in 2027."
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brightline_West
- Brightline West Opening Date Predictions:
- @/jks/will-brightline-west-open-for-servi
- @/jks/will-brightline-west-open-for-servi-687c7ce7d6a2
Open markets
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
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- <4016%
+7 more outcomes
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- 24h Vol
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- No-11.5pt64.4%
- Yes+11.5pt35.6%
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
- $1.2K
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- $588.5
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+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
FORECASTEXWill UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition exceed $53,000 in 2026?
- Yes82%
- No18%
- Total Vol
- $500
- 24h Vol
- $500
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Brightline West open for service before 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 79% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Will Brightline West open for service before 2030? resolve?
- Will Brightline West open for service before 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
- How is Will Brightline West open for service before 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: "Brightline West is a proposed privately run high-speed rail route in the United States linking Las Vegas Valley and Rancho Cucamonga in the Greater Los Angeles area through the California high desert."