Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 74.3%
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31
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingDec 22, 22, 5:13 AM UTCJan 1, 31, 7:59 AM UTC
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KalshiRules
A bunch of companies, most notably Mojo, are trying to build and sell AR contact lenses.
- Will these devices succeed?
- Resolution criteria:
- The device has to be purchasable by any consumer in the US, though if there's a wait-list this still resolved YES.
- The device must be "useful".
- This will be based on my judgment, but for an example of some disqualifying things: <10m battery life, so low res it can only display a clock, etc
