Will a non-European or non-South American country win the FIFA world cup by 2034 (inclusive)?
SportsOne-OffSoccerFIFA World Cup8y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 87%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleFeb 3, 24, 9:26 AM UTCDec 31, 34, 4:59 PM UTC
Trends
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All previous World Cup winners have been from Europe or South America.
- Will a non-European or South American country win the World Cup in one of the next three tournaments (2026, 2030 or 2034)?
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- Total Vol
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- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
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- Alexander Zverev+5.0pt26%
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- Total Vol
- $28M
- 24h Vol
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- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
- Club Brugge-31.0pt3%
- Total Vol
- $2.5M
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will a non-European or non-South American country win the FIFA world cup by 2034 (inclusive)??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 87% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will a non-European or non-South American country win the FIFA world cup by 2034 (inclusive)? resolve?
- Will a non-European or non-South American country win the FIFA world cup by 2034 (inclusive)? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2034.
- How is Will a non-European or non-South American country win the FIFA world cup by 2034 (inclusive)? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: All previous World Cup winners have been from Europe or South America.