Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Other 17.8%Leader of 16 outcomes
Forecasters
26
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleFeb 12, 24, 7:19 AM UTCFeb 19, 32, 9:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which team will win the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
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KalshiRules
All previous World Cup winners have been from Europe or South America.
- This will keep extending until a team that is not European or South American wins.
- Currently listing the top ten teams from the Men's Coca Cola rankings as options.
- Related market: https://manifold.markets/m2/will-a-noneuropean-or-nonsouth-amer
Open markets
SportsKALSHISabalenka vs Noskova
- Aryna Sabalenka+6.0pt74.5%
- Linda Noskova-5.0pt25.5%
- Total Vol
- $14.2M
- 24h Vol
- $13.1M
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2 Winner+33.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+57.0pt100%
- 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)100%
+29 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $27.9M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Total Vol
- $18.1K
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz57%
- Alexander Zverev+5.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28M
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHIClub Brugge vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
- Club Brugge-31.0pt3%
- Total Vol
- $2.5M
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which non-European or non-South American team will be the first to win the FIFA world cup??
- Manifold Markets prices Other at 18% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Which non-European or non-South American team will be the first to win the FIFA world cup? resolve?
- Which non-European or non-South American team will be the first to win the FIFA world cup? is scheduled to resolve on February 19, 2032.
- How is Which non-European or non-South American team will be the first to win the FIFA world cup? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: All previous World Cup winners have been from Europe or South America.