Will a new numbered, mainline Star Wars movie be released before 2027?
One-OffEntertainmentBox Office / Streaming2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 4:37 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
No 98.9%
No 98.9%Forecasters
16
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleApr 23, 23, 10:42 PM UTCJan 2, 27, 12:30 PM UTC
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsWild Horse Nine · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiGodzilla Minus Zero · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiRules
The last mainline Star Wars movie, Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker, was released in 2019.
- This market resolves positively if there is a new movie released in the mainline franchise before 2027 - presumably Episode X, but something out of order like Episode XIV would count too.
- This market is a duplicate of this market but with a slightly changed resolution criteria: https://manifold.markets/JackGaller/will-there-be-a-new-numbered-mainli