Current community forecast
Magnus Carlsen 57%+5.6ptLeader of 13 outcomes
Forecasters
8
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+7.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleSep 26, 26, 10:34 PM UTCNov 25, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This tournament is a combination of fast classical, rapid, and blitz.
- I'm not entirely sure about the format, but presumably they'll declare a winner and this market resolves to that person.
- I'm using the player list from Wikipedia, not that several top players appear to have declined (including Gukesh and Sindarov for obvious reasons, but also Nakamura and Wei)
- https://www.totalchess.com/pilot-2026
- [link preview]Total Chess World Championship 2026 - Wikipedia