KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Real Madrid · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored price
Real Madrid Stored bid–ask77%–79%Collected: Last trade: 79% · Trade time unknownNormalized research estimate: 78.2%Prices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Leader of 3 outcomes
Real Madrid Stored bid–ask77%–79%Collected: Last trade: 79% · Trade time unknownNormalized research estimate: 78.2%Prices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.3K
Open interest
$6.7K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Real MadridSpread
—
Market data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Oct 4, 26, 12:36 AM UTCOct 20, 26, 7:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 0s (informational)
Market depth · Real Madrid
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Real Madrid wins the Real Madrid vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Real Madrid vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Real Madrid
- If Real Madrid wins the Real Madrid vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tie
- If Tie is the result of the Real Madrid vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sevilla
- If Sevilla wins the Real Madrid vs Sevilla professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Real Madrid is 79%. The venue spread is about 5 percentage points. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Real Madrid 79% · 2 venues · 5 pt venue spread
- Also available on Futuur — Real Madrid vs. Sevilla · Real Madrid 74%
- Also available on Polymarket — Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC · Real Madrid CF 78%
