Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Other (76.9%)
Resolved: Oct 11, 2026, 9:55 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:02 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Selena Ge0.7%
Lina Wang2%
Olivia Laido1.7%
Sylvia Lee1%
Yunong (Melody) Wu1%
Shuyin Liu2.2%
Krittika Chandra1%
Xinyi (Sophie) Li0.4%
Tianlin (Jessica) Liu2.2%
Heather Wang1%
Laura Wang1%
Elaine Wu2.2%
Anna Zhou2.2%
Lanie Deng0.7%
Greta Qu0.7%
Sylvia Chen0.7%
Lingfei Tang1%
Haruka Kimura0.7%
Maiya Qiu0.8%
Other76.9%
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PolymarketRules
The default answers are taken from the names in the 2025 MPFG awards who were not in year 12 then.
- If MPFG does not happen by the resolution time, the market resolves N/A. The previous version of the market had less options.