Who will host Saturday Night Live [SNL] for the first time in the 2020s? [Mega Market]
One-OffEntertainment3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastFinn Wolfhard 100%Leader of 26 outcomes
Forecasters
8
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleApr 12, 24, 4:33 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Feel free to add anyone, as long as they’ve never hosted SNL beforehand; here’s a handy single-paged guide.
- If someone has previously been a musical guest, but never hosted, you can add them.
- Everyone left open will Resolve NO if the show is cancelled.
- People will Resolve YES once their opening monologue has begun (people have dropped out last minute before), or their first sketch.
- Being a musical guest, or appearing in a single sketch, both don’t count.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $398.4K
- 24h Vol
- $106K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $212.1K
- 24h Vol
- $105.5K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+7.0pt45%
- Jack Barton-5.0pt20%
- Callum Turner-5.0pt18%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+24.1pt46.2%
- No Bond chosen-1.5pt19.8%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $307.5K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-51.0pt16%
- Above 408%
- Above 50-57.0pt7%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $99.8K
- 24h Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will host Saturday Night Live [SNL] for the first time in the 2020s? [Mega Market]?
- Manifold Markets prices Finn Wolfhard at 100% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will host Saturday Night Live [SNL] for the first time in the 2020s? [Mega Market] resolve?
- Who will host Saturday Night Live [SNL] for the first time in the 2020s? [Mega Market] is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
- How is Who will host Saturday Night Live [SNL] for the first time in the 2020s? [Mega Market] settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Feel free to add anyone, as long as they’ve never hosted SNL beforehand; here’s a handy single-paged guide.