Who is the unidentified person on the cover of Sgt. Pepper's Lonely Hearts Club Band?
ChainlinkOne-OffManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastScreamin' Jay Hawkins 25.1%Leader of 4 outcomes
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3
Question type
multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
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Updated 4 hours ago
StaleMar 14, 26, 12:30 AM UTCMar 21, 50, 12:24 AM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
See https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DKKHLFL86C8 and https://www.reddit.com/r/SgtPepperMystery/
- Resolves as soon as there is no reasonable doubt about the correct answer.
- E.g. someone finds the original context of the photo.
- Something like "someone who has present at the photo shoot claims it was xy" is not enough to resolve this.
- A good criterion would be if the Wikipedia article (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_images_on_the_cover_of_Sgt._Pepper%27s_Lonely_Hearts_Club_Band) names the person with no indication that the identity is disputed.
- I won't bet on the market, and I currently don't have a strong opinion on who it is.