▶️Which Youtube channels will release at least one video in August 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
9.8 pts (24h)One-OffEntertainment9dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNileRed 100%Leader of 21 outcomes
Forecasters
24
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+9.8 pts
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Jul 27, 26, 12:19 AMAug 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Rules
Shorts do not count, Livestreams do not count, but uploaded videos in the main Video tab that are made from streams do count
- Channels that are added after they have already released an eligible video will not be resolved.
- Update 2025-10-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Paywalled/member-only videos do not count for resolution, even if uploaded to the main videos feed.
- Update 2026-02-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For collaboration videos (marked as such in YouTube's interface): Only the main poster's channel will count for resolution purposes.
- The main poster is determined by which channel is identified as the primary uploader of the video.
- Update 2026-02-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Second channels do not count - if a creator posts to an alternate channel (e.g., Coffeezilla posting to Voidzilla), it will not count for the resolution of the main channel's answer.
Open markets
Entertainment
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Dee Valladares+3.0pt17.8%
- Rick Devens-1.0pt15.8%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt9.9%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.3M
- 24h Vol
- $131K
KALSHIInsidious: Out of the Further · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4099%
- Above 50+9.0pt99%
- Above 45+1.0pt99%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $398.2K
- 24h Vol
KALSHIMutiny · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+16.0pt99%
- Above 50+35.0pt78%
- Above 55-1.0pt8%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $292.6K
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey+1.0pt60%
- Dune: Part Three11%
- The Black Ball8%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.9M
- 24h Vol
- $47.4K
KALSHIGrand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Before July 202797%
- Before January 2028-2.0pt97%
- Before 202787%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.7M
- 24h Vol
- $31.5K
POLYMARKET"The Odyssey" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes)
- 550 - 570m+2.5pt83.8%
- 570m+-5.7pt14.1%
- 530 - 550m-0.2pt2%
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (August 17, 2026 - August 23, 2026)
- Highest grossing movie in 2026?
- Lost Weekend: First Week Album Equivalent Units
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
- Emmy winner: Outstanding Variety Special (Pre-Recorded)
- #2 US Netflix Show this week?
- Top US Netflix Show this week?
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
- #2 US Netflix Movie this week?
- Emmy winner: Outstanding Structured Reality Program
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for ▶️Which Youtube channels will release at least one video in August 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]?
- Manifold Markets prices NileRed at 100% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does ▶️Which Youtube channels will release at least one video in August 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] resolve?
- ▶️Which Youtube channels will release at least one video in August 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] is scheduled to resolve on August 31, 2026.
- How is ▶️Which Youtube channels will release at least one video in August 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Shorts do not count, Livestreams do not count, but uploaded videos in the main Video tab that are made from streams do count