Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastBest Director 97.1%Leader of 18 outcomes
Forecasters
34
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleJul 21, 26, 1:21 AM UTCJan 15, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will "Michael" receive any Oscar nominations?
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PolymarketOscars 2027: Will an actor or actress receive 2+ nominations in the same category?
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PolymarketRules
For the Acting categories, the option resolves YES only for the exact combination of [actor] x [lead/supporting].
- I.e., if Anne Hathaway is nominated for lead actress, then "the named outcome" does not resolve YES.
- For all non-acting categories, all that matters is the category itself.
- (The logic is that it's not very interesting to try and figure out exactly which producers will get "nominated" for the named outcome, so I won't bother with attribution, but with acting it's interesting to break exactly who gets submitted and where).
- This may close before nominations are announced.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $398.4K
- 24h Vol
- $106K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $212.1K
- 24h Vol
- $105.5K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+7.0pt45%
- Jack Barton-5.0pt20%
- Callum Turner-5.0pt18%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+24.1pt46.2%
- No Bond chosen-1.5pt19.8%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $307.5K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-51.0pt16%
- Above 408%
- Above 50-57.0pt7%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $99.8K
- 24h Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which Oscar nominations will "The Odyssey" receive??
- Manifold Markets prices Best Director at 97% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Which Oscar nominations will "The Odyssey" receive? resolve?
- Which Oscar nominations will "The Odyssey" receive? is scheduled to resolve on January 15, 2027.
- How is Which Oscar nominations will "The Odyssey" receive? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: For the Acting categories, the option resolves YES only for the exact combination of [actor] x [lead/supporting].