Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastBest Director 97.1%Leader of 20 outcomes
Forecasters
38
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJul 21, 26, 1:21 AM UTCJan 15, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurWhich film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
PolymarketRules
For the Acting categories, the option resolves YES only for the exact combination of [actor] x [lead/supporting].
- I.e., if Anne Hathaway is nominated for lead actress, then "the named outcome" does not resolve YES.
- For all non-acting categories, all that matters is the category itself.
- (The logic is that it's not very interesting to try and figure out exactly which producers will get "nominated" for the named outcome, so I won't bother with attribution, but with acting it's interesting to break exactly who gets submitted and where).
- This may close before nominations are announced.
