What are the current odds for Which of these crypto exchanges will become insolvent first??

Manifold Markets prices Gate.io at 16.4% as of October 16, 2026.

Paper trade this

Which of these crypto exchanges will become insolvent first?

EthereumOne-OffCrypto Exchange Stablecoin Binance19y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Gate.io 16.4%

Leader of 10 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

0.0 pts

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Lagging

Jan 26, 25, 10:10 PM UTCJan 6, 46, 10:59 PM UTC

Outcome24hChance

Rules

This market will resolve to whichever of the given exchanges halts withdrawals for USDC, BTC and/or ETH for a majority of users for at least 7 full days.

Open markets

Ethereum

POLYMARKET

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

↓ 2,250-5.0pt61%
↑ 3,000+5.0pt38%
↓ 2,000-8.5pt30%

+27 more outcomes

Total Vol: $17.9M
24h Vol: $254.9K

POLYMARKET

What price will Ethereum hit in October?

↓ 2,40087%
↑ 2,500+26.5pt77%
↓ 2,300-30.0pt53%

+31 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Ethereum above ___ on October 16?

2,000+1.0pt100%
2,100+1.4pt100%
2,200+9.1pt99%

+8 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

What price will Ethereum hit October 12-18?

↓ 2,40060%
↑ 2,500+23.0pt45%
↓ 2,300-59.0pt8%

+15 more outcomes

KALSHI

ETH price on Oct 16, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

$2,140 or above99%
$2,300 or above+7.0pt98%
$2,020 or above99.5%

POLYMARKET

What price will Ethereum hit on October 15?

↑ 2,5002%
↑ 2,5501%
↑ 2,6001%

+11 more outcomes

Total Vol: $84.6K

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Which of these crypto exchanges will become insolvent first??: Manifold Markets prices Gate.io at 16.4% as of October 16, 2026.
When does Which of these crypto exchanges will become insolvent first? resolve?: Which of these crypto exchanges will become insolvent first? is scheduled to resolve on January 6, 2046.
How is Which of these crypto exchanges will become insolvent first? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to whichever of the given exchanges halts withdrawals for USDC, BTC and/or ETH for a majority of users for at least 7 full days.

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Which of these crypto exchanges will become insolvent first?

Open markets

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

What price will Ethereum hit in October?

Ethereum above ___ on October 16?

What price will Ethereum hit October 12-18?

ETH price on Oct 16, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

What price will Ethereum hit on October 15?

Related Cryptos

Frequently asked questions

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Open markets

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

What price will Ethereum hit in October?

Ethereum above ___ on October 16?

What price will Ethereum hit October 12-18?

ETH price on Oct 16, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

What price will Ethereum hit on October 15?