KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Below $1,500.00 19%-2.0ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.2K
Liquidity
$396.9K
High liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jan 1, 26, 5:00 AMJan 1, 27, 5:00 AM
Rules
If the spot price of Ethereum in U.S. dollars is below 1500.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:CF Benchmarks
- The Ethereum price is measured using the CF Ethereum Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI) with a trimmed mean calculation that excludes the top 20% and bottom 20% of minute-by-minute values between market issuance and the target time.
- The market resolves based on whether the trimmed mean price reaches the specified level by the deadline.
- If no data is available at expiration, the market resolves to No. Price data from CF Benchmarks is considered authoritative and revisions after expiration do not affect market resolution.
- If the spot price of Ethereum in U.S. dollars is below 1250.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the spot price of Ethereum in U.S. dollars is below 1000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
