What quarter will Tesla allow me to drive from San Mateo to Palo Alto in my Model Y mostly at SAE 3+?
Tech5mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast
April 1 2027, Later, or never 65.9%Leader of 15 outcomes
April 1 2027, Later, or never 65.9%Forecasters
13
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
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Updated 3 hours ago
StaleNov 29, 23, 6:12 PM UTCApr 2, 27, 6:59 AM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
I have a 2023 model Y and drive on current FSD somewhat, maybe 100 miles a week.
- I often drive San Mateo to Palo Alto.
- By time, about 5 minutes is surface streets in San Mateo, then 15 minutes highway, then 2 min surface streets in Palo Alto.
- When will this become true:
- I can drive without hands on wheel and without attention, playing with my phone or watching a movie.
- This is SAE3 or higher