Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastQ3 2027 18.4%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleJul 4, 26, 1:01 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the calendar date on which Taylor Swift gives birth to or legally adopts her first child.
- Source of Truth: Resolution will be based on an official announcement from Taylor Swift, her partner, her publicist/representative (e.g., Tree Paine), or confirmed reporting from reputable entertainment news outlets (such as People, Billboard, The Hollywood Reporter, or Variety).
- Time Zone: The date of resolution will be based on the local time zone of the location where the birth or adoption takes place.
- In the event of a multiple birth (e.g., twins), the date of birth of the first child delivered will be used.
- Taylor Swift (born December 13, 1989) is one of the most prominent pop stars in the world.
