This market resolved: 2025 (95.9%)
Resolved: Jun 30, 2025, 10:27 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Probability Timeline
202595.9%
20261.1%
20271.1%
2028 (before Nov 7)0.9%
Musk stays by Trump's side through the next election1.1%
Coin Price Context
Coin price movements are shown for context and do not imply causation.
DOGE$0.17 → $0.17-3.5%
Won
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Rules
Elon Musk has taken on a significant role in the Trump Administration as co-lead of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), alongside Vivek Ramaswamy (who has since departed).
- This unofficial advisory role has been described as a "non-career Special Government Employee" position.
- Musk has been actively involved in policy discussions and has gained considerable influence within the administration despite not holding an official cabinet position.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to the year when Elon Musk no longer plays a significant role in the Trump Administration.
- A "significant role" will be defined based on reports from credible press and statements from the principals, but indicators will include:
