Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastWeek 1 NFL Season 2025/26 90.5%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+4.9 pts
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleDec 15, 25, 4:29 AM UTCSep 21, 40, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- Patrick Mahomes suffered a season-ending torn ACL in his left knee in the closing minutes of Sunday's 16-13 loss to the Chargers on December 14, 2025.
- The market resolves based on when Mahomes takes his next NFL snap:
- the named outcome: Any snap during preseason games before the regular season begins (Preseason is generally August 2026)
- the named outcome: Any snap during Week 1 of the 2025-26 regular season (2nd Week of September)
- Week 2-18 NFL Season 2025/26: Any snap during Weeks 2-18 of the 2025-26 regular season
Open markets
Sports
POLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 3.5+34.5pt100%
- Michelsen Set 3 Winner+45.5pt100%
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 4.5+70.5pt100%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.9M
- 24h Vol
- $6.9M
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.5M
KALSHIHouston vs Philadelphia
- Houston+48.0pt91.1%
- Philadelphia-48.0pt8.9%
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
- 24h Vol
- $2.7M
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton+2.0pt9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.6M
KALSHIBrace vs Sorribes Tormo
- Cadence Brace52%
- Sara Sorribes Tormo48%
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
- 24h Vol
- $2M
KALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz-1.0pt77.2%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt22.8%
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.9M
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When does Patrick Mahomes next take an NFL snap??
- Manifold Markets prices Week 1 NFL Season 2025/26 at 91% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does When does Patrick Mahomes next take an NFL snap? resolve?
- When does Patrick Mahomes next take an NFL snap? is scheduled to resolve on September 21, 2040.
- How is When does Patrick Mahomes next take an NFL snap? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria