Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 51.1%
No 51.1%Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleFeb 4, 25, 4:02 PM UTCMar 2, 45, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When does Patrick Mahomes next take an NFL snap?
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Manifold MarketsPatrick Mahomes Career Regular Season Passing Yards
KalshiPro Football: Josh Allen 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns
PolymarketRules
Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes have faced each other 9 times in their NFL careers, with Allen holding a 4-1 record in regular season matchups.
- However, Mahomes has dominated their playoff encounters, winning all four meetings (2020 AFC Championship, 2021 AFC Divisional Round, 2023 AFC Divisional Round, 2024 AFC Championship).
- Most of these games have been highly competitive and have featured great quarterback play, including the famous "13 seconds" shootout in 2021 that went to overtime.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if Josh Allen as starting Quarterback (takes first offensive snap) defeats Patrick Mahomes as starting Quarterback (either can play for any team) in any NFL playoff game during their careers.
- The market will resolve NO if: