What will the annual return from trading on the Dutch frequency imbalance market for a typical home battery be in 2028?
One-OffCommodities2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 5:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
€1000 - €1500 21.2%Leader of 5 outcomes
€1000 - €1500 21.2%Forecasters
1
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleFeb 1, 25, 3:30 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
The Dutch frequency imbalance market allows home battery owners to earn money by helping balance the electrical grid.
- Battery owners can participate by charging when there's excess power and discharging when there's a shortage.
- The economic viability of batteries in the Netherlands is improving due to decreasing battery costs and increasing market revenues.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve based on the average annual return in euros that a typical residential battery system purchasable in 2025 (20 kWh capacity, with solar panels but no ev charger: PV) earns from participating in the Dutch frequency imbalance market during the calendar year 2028.
- Returns will be based on https://onbalansmarkt.com/resultaten .
