Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast86.50% or higher 34.8%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
1
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleOct 21, 26, 10:42 PM UTCDec 2, 26, 6:00 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolves to the bucket containing Google's share of US search engine traffic for November 2026, as published by StatCounter Global Stats.
- Source: https://gs.statcounter.com/search-engine-market-share/all/united-states-of-america (United States, all platforms: desktop + mobile + tablet + console, monthly view).
- I'll use the figure StatCounter shows for November 2026 when I first check on or after December 2, 2026, 00:00 UTC, read at the two decimal places StatCounter displays, and I'll post a screenshot or CSV line when resolving.
- Buckets are inclusive of the lower bound (e.g. 85.50 resolves to "85.50% to 85.99%").
- For context, recent completed months: Sep 2026 85.19%, Aug 86.01%, Jul 86.61%, Jun 86.68%, Nov 2025 85.07%, Jan 2026 83.91% (the low of the past year).
- October 2026 month-to-date (Oct 21) is 85.76%, with Bing at 9.55%.
