Current community forecast
It will be related to Dragon 100%Leader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
15
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-18.6 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jun 27, 24, 11:56 AM UTCDec 31, 28, 4:59 PM UTC
Trends
100%
100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
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KalshiRules
NASA announced today that "SpaceX has been selected to develop and deliver the U.S. Deorbit Vehicle that will provide the capability to deorbit the space station and ensure avoidance of risk to populated areas."
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- [link preview]
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What will be true about SpaceX's deorbit tug?
- Manifold Markets prices It will be related to Dragon at 100% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does What will be true about SpaceX's deorbit tug resolve?
- What will be true about SpaceX's deorbit tug is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2028.
- How is What will be true about SpaceX's deorbit tug settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: NASA announced today that "SpaceX has been selected to develop and deliver the U.S. Deorbit Vehicle that will provide the capability to deorbit the space station and ensure avoidance of risk to populated areas."