What will be true about SpaceX's deorbit tug

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for What will be true about SpaceX's deorbit tug?

Manifold Markets prices It will be related to Dragon at 100% as of October 28, 2026.

When does What will be true about SpaceX's deorbit tug resolve?

What will be true about SpaceX's deorbit tug is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2028.

How is What will be true about SpaceX's deorbit tug settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: NASA announced today that "SpaceX has been selected to develop and deliver the U.S. Deorbit Vehicle that will provide the capability to deorbit the space station and ensure avoidance of risk to populated areas."

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KALSHI

Where will it rain on Oct 28, 2026?

• Minneapolis+4.0pt99.5%
• Miami+33.0pt99.5%
• Seattle+13.0pt99.5%

+32 more outcomes

Total Vol

$1.3M

24h Vol

$1.2M

POLYMARKET

Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?

• 320-339+9.0pt39.2%
• 300-31923.7%
• 340-359-3.6pt18.6%

+27 more outcomes

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $73,500 or above+2.0pt99%
• $71,000 or above99%
• $71,500 or above99%

KALSHI

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 28, 2026?

• 75° to 76°+62.0pt99.5%
• 73° to 74°-53.0pt0.5%
• 71° to 72°-6.0pt

KALSHI

Bitcoin price at the end of 2026

• 80,000 to 84,999.99-0.8pt15.1%
• 75,000 to 79,999.99-0.5pt14.9%
• 85,000 to 89,999.99+0.2pt

KALSHI

Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 28, 2026?

• 88° to 89°+94.0pt99.5%
• 86° to 87°-63.0pt0.5%
• 84° to 85°-25.0pt

• Best AI at the end of 2026?
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• STRC hits $100 by…