Current community forecast
Somebody who has had a little too much alcohol makes a scene 14.8%+1.3ptLeader of 21 outcomes
Forecasters
37
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+1.1 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 4, 26, 12:01 PM UTCOct 4, 26, 10:36 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
I'm getting married this month! What could possibly go wrong? Add answers, be as creative and cruel as you like.
- I won't bet (except to initialise some very low probabilities) but I might add more answers.
- Resolves to the worst thing that actually happens. "Worst" is my judgement.
- Feel free to ask me which of two options would be worse.
- If there are two answers that overlap (e.g. "Somebody dies" and "the best man dies"; or "an ambulance gets called" and "an ambulance gets called because of a severe allergic reaction to the food"), I'll probably resolve to the more specific one, unless it feels really non-central and not so bad.
- If in doubt, ask me which one would count as worse.
Open markets
SportsKALSHISabalenka vs Noskova
- Aryna Sabalenka+6.0pt74.5%
- Linda Noskova-5.0pt25.5%
- Total Vol
- $14.2M
- 24h Vol
- $13.1M
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2 Winner+33.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+57.0pt100%
- 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)100%
+29 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $27.9M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Total Vol
- $18.1K
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz57%
- Alexander Zverev+5.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28M
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHIClub Brugge vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
- Club Brugge-31.0pt3%
- Total Vol
- $2.5M
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF
- US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova
- Tiafoe vs Michelsen
- Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
- United Arab Emirates vs Bangladesh
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- MLB: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers (Sep 7, 2026)
- MLB: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins (Sep 7, 2026)
- Amgen Irish Open Winner
- MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals (Sep 7, 2026)
- Real Madrid vs Inter
- US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What will be the worst thing to go wrong at my wedding? [Add answers]?
- Manifold Markets prices Somebody who has had a little too much alcohol makes a scene at 15% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does What will be the worst thing to go wrong at my wedding? [Add answers] resolve?
- What will be the worst thing to go wrong at my wedding? [Add answers] is scheduled to resolve on October 4, 2026.
- How is What will be the worst thing to go wrong at my wedding? [Add answers] settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: I'm getting married this month! What could possibly go wrong? Add answers, be as creative and cruel as you like.