Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastThe Super Mario Galaxy Movie 99%Leader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters
22
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleJan 1, 26, 6:28 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will be the top grossing movie in the US in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the top grossing film in the US in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many people will attend Broadway shows during the 2026–27 season?
KalshiRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiWhat will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
PolymarketWild Horse Nine · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiRules
This question resolves YES to the ten named films that are among Box Office Mojo's top 10 grossing films (using calendar gross) for 2026 when I check it on 31 Dec 2026.
- This question will not resolve to untitled films or temporary titles.
- Feel free to add answers.
Open markets
Box Office / StreamingKALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 55+7.0pt99%
- Above 50+2.0pt99%
- Above 45+3.0pt99%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $392.1K
- 24h Vol
- $18.9K
KALSHIHow many people will attend Broadway shows during the 2026–27 season?
- above 13,500,000-5.0pt85%
- above 13,750,000+1.0pt81%
- above 14,000,000+1.0pt75%
+5 more outcomes
KALSHIWild Horse Nine · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 7099%
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
+11 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $97.2K
- 24h Vol
- $8.1K
POLYMARKETWhat will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
- The Gentlemen: Season 2+66.0pt71%
- Instadocs: The Decoy Plane-18.0pt9%
- Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1-9.4pt8%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETHow many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
- 6M++34.0pt98%
- 8M+-31.0pt63%
- 10M+-1.0pt49%
+4 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill The Batman: Part II be delayed?
- No-1.0pt89%
- Yes+1.0pt11%
- Total Vol
- $5K
- 24h Vol
- $2.1
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What will be the top 10 grossing films in the US in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices The Super Mario Galaxy Movie at 99% as of September 12, 2026.
- When does What will be the top 10 grossing films in the US in 2026? resolve?
- What will be the top 10 grossing films in the US in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is What will be the top 10 grossing films in the US in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This question resolves YES to the ten named films that are among Box Office Mojo's top 10 grossing films (using calendar gross) for 2026 when I check it on 31 Dec 2026.