Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastFable/Mythos 13.4%-6.6%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Jul 12, 26, 6:10 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Fable/Mythos13%
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The current publicly accessible line-up of Claude is Fable 5, Opus 4.8, Sonnet 5, and Haiku 4.5, as seen on https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/models/overview.
- Which tier will be the next to have a model publicly released? By publicly released, I mean Anthropic must announce the public release and the average American can access it just by making an account and spending money.
- If multiple models are released simultaneously, each option will resolve to 100% times how many of the released models are of that tier.
- If Anthropic "rereleases" an old model, I will either ignore that or resolve this N/A and create a new market.