KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityclaude-opus-4-6 1%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$12.9K
Liquidity
$55K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Jul 6, 26, 4:01 PMJul 13, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
claude-opus-4-61%
Volume trend
$12.9kJul 67d of dataJul 12
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If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on Jul 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
- If claude-opus-4-6 is the top-ranked AI model on Jul 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.