What are the current odds for The Moana-Off: Which Moana will make the most dough-ana? 🎥🌊👧?

Manifold Markets prices Moana 2 (2024) at 99% as of August 5, 2026.

The Moana-Off: Which Moana will make the most dough-ana? 🎥🌊👧

EntertainmentOne-Off

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Moana 2 (2024) (98.9%)

Resolved: Aug 4, 2026, 5:34 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

Moana 2 (2024) 98.9%+1.1pt

Leader of 3 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 16 days ago

Stale

Feb 16, 24, 2:26 PMAug 4, 26, 5:34 PM

Probability Timeline

Moana (2016)0.7%

Moana 2 (2024)98.9%

Moana: Live Action (2025)0.4%

Moana 2 (2024)

+1.1 pts

98.9%

Moana (2016)

-0.7 pts

0.7%

Moana: Live Action (2025)

-0.4 pts

0.4%

Rules

We’re talking about the global box office, and going off BoxOfficeMojo.

The films and their totals (as of Feb 16th, 2024):
Moana (2016) - $687M
Moana 2 (2024) - $0
Moana: Live Action (2025) - $0
This market will resolve once the initial box office runs have completed for all three films.

The Moana-Off: Which Moana will make the most dough-ana? 🎥🌊👧

EntertainmentOne-Off

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Moana 2 (2024) (98.9%)

Resolved: Aug 4, 2026, 5:34 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

Moana 2 (2024) 98.9%+1.1pt

Leader of 3 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 16 days ago

Stale

Feb 16, 24, 2:26 PMAug 4, 26, 5:34 PM

Probability Timeline

Moana (2016)0.7%

Moana 2 (2024)98.9%

Moana: Live Action (2025)0.4%

Moana 2 (2024)

+1.1 pts

98.9%

Moana (2016)

-0.7 pts

0.7%

Moana: Live Action (2025)

-0.4 pts

0.4%

Rules

We’re talking about the global box office, and going off BoxOfficeMojo.

The films and their totals (as of Feb 16th, 2024):
Moana (2016) - $687M
Moana 2 (2024) - $0
Moana: Live Action (2025) - $0
This market will resolve once the initial box office runs have completed for all three films.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for The Moana-Off: Which Moana will make the most dough-ana? 🎥🌊👧?: Manifold Markets prices Moana 2 (2024) at 99% as of August 5, 2026.
When does The Moana-Off: Which Moana will make the most dough-ana? 🎥🌊👧 resolve?: The Moana-Off: Which Moana will make the most dough-ana? 🎥🌊👧 is scheduled to resolve on August 4, 2026.
How is The Moana-Off: Which Moana will make the most dough-ana? 🎥🌊👧 settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: We’re talking about the global box office, and going off BoxOfficeMojo.

The Moana-Off: Which Moana will make the most dough-ana? 🎥🌊👧

The Moana-Off: Which Moana will make the most dough-ana? 🎥🌊👧

Frequently asked questions

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