Tesla will begin offering a truly driverless taxi service to the general public in at least one city in 2026
TechOne-OffManifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (98.3%)
Resolved: Oct 24, 2026, 3:57 AM
Provider-verified resolution
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Probability Timeline
Yes98.3%
No1.7000000000000028%
Won
Lost
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PolymarketRules
This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026
- It will resolve according to the judgement of the authors.
- If they don't publish a retrospective by the end of February, it will resolve according to my judgement.